Auston Matthews vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.7%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Spezza 54.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Matthews
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Matthews
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
54.4% (7,990)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
56.8% (1,726)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
52.7% (643)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Matthews
Spezza
Home
56.3% (5,065)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Matthews
Spezza
P1
55.5%
55.7%
P2
53.3%
54.4%
P3
52.8%
54.1%
OT
56.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |