Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Spezza 51.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 76.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 89.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 76.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Kelly
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kelly
Spezza
Last 5: Kelly 0-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Kelly
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Kelly
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Kelly
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
51.3% (526)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
44.8% (29)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Kelly shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kelly
Spezza
Home
47.5% (259)
53.7% (374)
Away
41.3% (242)
50.3% (304)
By Period
Kelly
Spezza
P1
46.7%
50.2%
P2
42.9%
50.2%
P3
43.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |