Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Spezza 52.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 58.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 78.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Dvorak
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Spezza
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Dvorak
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
53.7% (451)
+2.0%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
54.3% (92)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
38.2% (34)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Spezza
Home
59.0% (432)
55.0% (282)
Away
54.8% (535)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Dvorak
Spezza
P1
58.7%
53.1%
P2
53.9%
53.2%
P3
57.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |