Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). White wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 47.8% vs Spezza 53.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 72.5%
Defensive zone
White 72.6%
Neutral zone
White 69.6%
Result
Colin White favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
White
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
White
Spezza
Last 5: White 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
1
0
White
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
White
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
White
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (498)
52.6% (346)
-4.8%
Power Play
45.9% (74)
61.0% (41)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
72.7% (11)
-35.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. White is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
White shoots right. Spezza is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
White
Spezza
Home
44.3% (282)
56.0% (175)
Away
50.3% (298)
52.5% (223)
By Period
White
Spezza
P1
50.0%
56.8%
P2
45.4%
54.3%
P3
47.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
47.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |