Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Spezza 52.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 79.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 51.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Dewar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dewar
Spezza
Last 5: Dewar 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
53.7% (451)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.3% (92)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
38.2% (34)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Dewar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Dewar shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Dewar
Spezza
Home
45.3% (64)
55.0% (282)
Away
47.8% (69)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Dewar
Spezza
P1
33.3%
53.1%
P2
44.2%
53.2%
P3
64.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |