Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Spezza 54.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 44-28 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 63.0%
Defensive zone
Krejci 67.4%
Neutral zone
Krejci 66.1%
Result
David Krejci favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Krejci
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
44
(72 meetings)
28
44
Krejci
Spezza
Last 10: Krejci 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
13
Krejci
Spezza
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
13
Krejci
Spezza
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
18
Krejci
Spezza
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
54.4% (7,990)
-3.8%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
56.8% (1,726)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
52.7% (643)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Krejci
Spezza
Home
53.1% (5,660)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Krejci
Spezza
P1
50.7%
55.7%
P2
51.8%
54.4%
P3
50.2%
54.1%
OT
53.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |