Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Krejci wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.8% vs Spezza 55.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 74.2%
Defensive zone
Krejci 82.2%
Neutral zone
Krejci 72.9%
Result
David Krejci favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Krejci
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Krejci
Spezza
Last 10: Krejci 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Krejci
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
Krejci
Spezza
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
7
Krejci
Spezza
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (872)
56.1% (795)
-7.0%
Power Play
46.3% (177)
56.9% (211)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
56.3% (190)
-7.5%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Krejci is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Krejci shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Krejci
Spezza
Home
49.7% (557)
56.6% (532)
Away
47.8% (592)
56.0% (678)
By Period
Krejci
Spezza
P1
47.4%
58.8%
P2
49.5%
59.6%
P3
48.1%
50.4%
OT
64.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |