Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Spezza 54.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 61.8%
Defensive zone
Krejci 80.4%
Neutral zone
Krejci 64.9%
Result
David Krejci favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Krejci
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Krejci
Spezza
Last 8: Krejci 2-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Krejci
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Krejci
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Krejci
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
53.2% (763)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
60.9% (197)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (105)
57.1% (21)
-6.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Krejci is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Krejci shoots right. Spezza is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Krejci
Spezza
Home
51.7% (571)
57.5% (518)
Away
48.5% (546)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Krejci
Spezza
P1
52.9%
55.4%
P2
52.6%
54.1%
P3
45.0%
55.5%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |