Derek MacKenzie vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Spezza 54.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 86.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 63.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
MacKenzie
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
MacKenzie
Spezza
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
13
MacKenzie
Spezza
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
3
MacKenzie
Spezza
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
3
MacKenzie
Spezza
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
54.4% (7,990)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
56.8% (1,726)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
52.7% (643)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Spezza
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
MacKenzie
Spezza
P1
51.9%
55.7%
P2
53.0%
54.4%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
65.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |