Frederick Gaudreau vs Jason Spezza
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Spezza 57.3% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 74.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 67.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Gaudreau
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaudreau
Spezza
Last 5: Gaudreau 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Gaudreau
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (320)
58.0% (697)
-9.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.0% (105)
-26.7%
On power play, Spezza has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Gaudreau shoots right. Spezza is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Spezza
Home
46.4% (151)
58.2% (376)
Away
50.0% (172)
58.2% (431)
By Period
Gaudreau
Spezza
P1
45.6%
63.3%
P2
48.0%
54.9%
P3
52.3%
57.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |