Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 52.1% vs Spezza 53.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 51.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 65.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Sedin
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Sedin
Spezza
Last 6: Sedin 5-1 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
2
0
Sedin
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
2
1
Sedin
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
0
Sedin
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (896)
53.9% (1,097)
-2.1%
Power Play
57.6% (158)
54.8% (250)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
52.8% (89)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Sedin is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Sedin shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Home / Away
Sedin
Spezza
Home
51.3% (556)
55.8% (695)
Away
53.4% (541)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Sedin
Spezza
P1
53.7%
50.3%
P2
53.4%
54.7%
P3
49.3%
56.0%
OT
56.3%
73.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |