Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.0% vs Spezza 55.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 74.0%
Defensive zone
Josefson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Josefson 72.1%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Josefson
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Josefson
Spezza
Last 5: Josefson 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Josefson
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Josefson
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (169)
56.1% (795)
-7.6%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
56.9% (211)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.3% (190)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Josefson is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Josefson shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Josefson
Spezza
Home
44.8% (116)
56.6% (532)
Away
50.0% (86)
56.0% (678)
By Period
Josefson
Spezza
P1
47.1%
58.8%
P2
48.1%
59.6%
P3
45.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |