Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs Spezza 53.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 60.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 75.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Benn
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Spezza
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Benn
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
53.8% (1,283)
-7.4%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
52.8% (303)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
49.4% (89)
+8.2%
On power play, Spezza has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Benn is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Benn shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Home / Away
Benn
Spezza
Home
48.5% (377)
56.4% (853)
Away
43.9% (374)
50.5% (847)
By Period
Benn
Spezza
P1
40.4%
53.4%
P2
52.1%
54.2%
P3
46.8%
53.4%
OT
36.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |