Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Beagle 55.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 76.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 78.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 61.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Spezza
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spezza
Beagle
Last 5: Spezza 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
58.1% (284)
-5.1%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
33.3% (3)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
52.6% (97)
-2.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Spezza shoots right. Beagle is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Spezza
Beagle
Home
56.4% (626)
57.9% (183)
Away
51.7% (636)
55.2% (201)
By Period
Spezza
Beagle
P1
56.9%
54.7%
P2
51.9%
62.1%
P3
53.9%
50.9%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |