Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.2% vs Beagle 58.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 72.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Spezza
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Spezza
Beagle
Last 5: Spezza 2-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Spezza
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Spezza
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (346)
59.0% (458)
-6.4%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
84.2% (19)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (11)
57.2% (201)
+15.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Spezza is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Spezza shoots right. Beagle is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Spezza
Beagle
Home
56.0% (175)
62.7% (306)
Away
52.5% (223)
56.2% (372)
By Period
Spezza
Beagle
P1
56.8%
64.5%
P2
54.3%
56.7%
P3
50.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |