Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.2%). Spezza wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Beagle 54.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 73.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 55.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Spezza
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Spezza
Beagle
Last 8: Spezza 6-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Beagle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
59.0% (212)
-1.1%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
50.0% (2)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
50.0% (94)
+2.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Spezza is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Spezza shoots right. Beagle is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Spezza
Beagle
Home
58.4% (238)
57.9% (171)
Away
55.5% (245)
54.0% (137)
By Period
Spezza
Beagle
P1
59.2%
53.3%
P2
54.8%
61.5%
P3
57.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |