Jason Spezza vs Jerred Smithson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Smithson 56.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 76.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 50.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Spezza
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Spezza
Smithson
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
1
Spezza
Smithson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
6
Spezza
Smithson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
5
Spezza
Smithson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
58.4% (1,842)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.6% (45)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
50.6% (443)
+2.1%
On even strength, Smithson has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Smithson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Spezza
Smithson
Home
56.8% (5,066)
58.4% (1,195)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
55.0% (1,150)
By Period
Spezza
Smithson
P1
55.7%
55.9%
P2
54.4%
55.3%
P3
54.1%
59.0%
OT
51.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |