Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Smithson 54.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.1%
Defensive zone
Smithson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Smithson 60.7%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Spezza
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Spezza
Smithson
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
0
Spezza
Smithson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
3
Spezza
Smithson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
1
Spezza
Smithson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
55.5% (371)
-1.0%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
75.0% (8)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
53.5% (99)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Spezza is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Spezza shoots right. Smithson is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Spezza
Smithson
Home
62.2% (45)
55.4% (249)
Away
54.1% (74)
55.5% (229)
By Period
Spezza
Smithson
P1
58.7%
55.8%
P2
64.1%
52.6%
P3
46.9%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |