Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.8%). Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Vitale 54.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 68.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 74.8%
Neutral zone
Vitale 55.4%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Spezza
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Spezza
Vitale
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
7
Spezza
Vitale
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
7
Spezza
Vitale
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
2
Spezza
Vitale
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
55.9% (1,771)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
76.0% (25)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
47.1% (297)
+5.6%
On power play, Vitale has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Home / Away
Spezza
Vitale
Home
56.8% (5,066)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Spezza
Vitale
P1
55.7%
52.9%
P2
54.4%
53.8%
P3
54.1%
57.5%
OT
51.5%
72.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |