Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Vitale 55.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 75.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 61.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Spezza
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Spezza
Vitale
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
6
Spezza
Vitale
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
5
Spezza
Vitale
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Vitale
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
55.9% (646)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
100.0% (12)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
47.5% (61)
+1.9%
On power play, Vitale has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Spezza is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Spezza shoots right. Vitale is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Spezza
Vitale
Home
56.4% (853)
56.9% (383)
Away
50.5% (847)
54.4% (340)
By Period
Spezza
Vitale
P1
53.4%
51.5%
P2
54.2%
58.2%
P3
53.4%
56.8%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |