Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Martinook on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Martinook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Martinook 44.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Martinook leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Martinook 60.7%
Defensive zone
Martinook 88.3%
Neutral zone
Martinook 78.7%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Spezza
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Spezza
Martinook
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
2
3
Spezza
Martinook
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
0
3
Spezza
Martinook
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Martinook
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
44.6% (818)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
47.1% (34)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
42.7% (185)
+2.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Spezza shoots right. Martinook is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Spezza
Martinook
Home
53.7% (374)
48.1% (561)
Away
50.3% (304)
39.9% (476)
By Period
Spezza
Martinook
P1
50.2%
46.6%
P2
50.2%
46.4%
P3
56.2%
40.6%
OT
66.7%
38.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
38.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |