Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Martinook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Martinook 45.4% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 83.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 73.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Spezza
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Spezza
Martinook
Last 7: Spezza 5-2 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
2
Spezza
Martinook
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Martinook
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
47.4% (249)
+10.6%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
37.5% (8)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
34.5% (84)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Martinook is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Spezza
Martinook
Home
58.2% (376)
42.5% (160)
Away
58.2% (431)
45.3% (181)
By Period
Spezza
Martinook
P1
63.3%
45.2%
P2
54.9%
46.4%
P3
57.4%
40.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |