Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Weal 52.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 68.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 68.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Spezza
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Spezza
Weal
Last 7: Spezza 6-1 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Weal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Weal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
51.8% (867)
+2.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
59.7% (129)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
37.5% (8)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Weal is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Spezza
Weal
Home
56.8% (5,066)
53.2% (455)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Spezza
Weal
P1
55.7%
56.6%
P2
54.4%
50.7%
P3
54.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |