Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Weal 54.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 71.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 54.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Spezza
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Spezza
Weal
Last 7: Spezza 6-1 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Weal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Weal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
55.4% (551)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
64.3% (42)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
16.7% (6)
+43.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Spezza is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Spezza shoots right. Weal is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Spezza
Weal
Home
58.2% (376)
53.5% (269)
Away
58.2% (431)
57.3% (330)
By Period
Spezza
Weal
P1
63.3%
60.9%
P2
54.9%
56.3%
P3
57.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |