Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 50.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Spezza
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Spezza
Lehtera
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
5
8
Spezza
Lehtera
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
5
Spezza
Lehtera
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.4% (2,714)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.8% (339)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
41.3% (104)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Spezza
Lehtera
Home
56.8% (5,066)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Spezza
Lehtera
P1
55.7%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
50.6%
P3
54.1%
48.1%
OT
51.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |