Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.1%). Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Jokinen 54.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 66.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 58.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Spezza
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
15
(36 meetings)
21
15
Spezza
Jokinen
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
6
Spezza
Jokinen
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
6
Spezza
Jokinen
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
3
Spezza
Jokinen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
53.8% (1,931)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.9% (506)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
54.5% (279)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Home / Away
Spezza
Jokinen
Home
56.8% (5,066)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Spezza
Jokinen
P1
55.7%
53.4%
P2
54.4%
54.4%
P3
54.1%
53.7%
OT
51.5%
66.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |