Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Jokinen 50.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 50.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 53.6%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 51.7%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Spezza
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Spezza
Jokinen
Last 5: Spezza 2-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
3
Spezza
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
47.6% (168)
+5.4%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
60.7% (56)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
46.2% (26)
+3.8%
On even strength, Spezza has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Jokinen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Spezza
Jokinen
Home
56.4% (626)
56.1% (123)
Away
51.7% (636)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Spezza
Jokinen
P1
56.9%
53.1%
P2
51.9%
51.2%
P3
53.9%
47.3%
OT
46.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |