Jason Spezza vs Justin Abdelkader
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Abdelkader shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Abdelkader 51.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 72.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 61.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Spezza
Abdelkader
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Spezza
Abdelkader
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
0
1
Spezza
Abdelkader
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Abdelkader
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Abdelkader
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Abdelkader
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
51.5% (1,126)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
50.7% (69)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
51.7% (174)
+1.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abdelkader shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Abdelkader is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Spezza
Abdelkader
Home
56.8% (5,066)
54.5% (642)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.7% (735)
By Period
Spezza
Abdelkader
P1
55.7%
49.5%
P2
54.4%
51.9%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
51.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |