Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 35-21 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 96.1%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 84.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Spezza
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
21
(56 meetings)
35
21
Spezza
Brodziak
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
17
5
Spezza
Brodziak
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
13
Spezza
Brodziak
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
3
Spezza
Brodziak
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.5% (6,432)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.8% (326)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
45.5% (1,344)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Spezza
Brodziak
Home
56.8% (5,066)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Spezza
Brodziak
P1
55.7%
49.2%
P2
54.4%
50.7%
P3
54.1%
49.5%
OT
51.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |