Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 75.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 63.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Spezza
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Spezza
Brodziak
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Brodziak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
49.8% (526)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
57.1% (7)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
47.5% (120)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Spezza is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Spezza shoots right. Brodziak is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Spezza
Brodziak
Home
53.7% (374)
51.5% (324)
Away
50.3% (304)
47.4% (329)
By Period
Spezza
Brodziak
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
50.2%
45.9%
P3
56.2%
52.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |