Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Brodziak 51.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 64.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 59.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Spezza
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Spezza
Brodziak
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Brodziak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Brodziak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
53.1% (808)
+3.3%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
50.0% (10)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
47.0% (149)
+3.0%
On even strength, Spezza has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Spezza is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Spezza shoots right. Brodziak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Home / Away
Spezza
Brodziak
Home
61.4% (352)
56.6% (477)
Away
50.9% (395)
47.8% (490)
By Period
Spezza
Brodziak
P1
60.6%
54.1%
P2
54.8%
55.5%
P3
52.5%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |