Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Turris 50.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 76.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 66.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 66.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Spezza
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Spezza
Turris
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
4
Spezza
Turris
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
2
Spezza
Turris
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Turris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.2% (7,653)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.4% (1,312)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.6% (580)
+4.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Turris is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Spezza
Turris
Home
56.8% (5,066)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Spezza
Turris
P1
55.7%
51.5%
P2
54.4%
50.8%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
51.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |