Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Turris 50.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 76.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 56.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Spezza
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Spezza
Turris
Last 9: Spezza 5-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Turris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Spezza
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
50.1% (505)
+7.9%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
56.8% (44)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
75.0% (4)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Spezza is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Spezza shoots right. Turris is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Spezza
Turris
Home
58.2% (376)
52.6% (274)
Away
58.2% (431)
49.1% (279)
By Period
Spezza
Turris
P1
63.3%
53.0%
P2
54.9%
55.3%
P3
57.4%
42.8%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |