Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sedlak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Sedlak 50.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 82.0%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 51.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 64.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Spezza
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Spezza
Sedlak
Last 7: Spezza 4-3 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
0
2
Spezza
Sedlak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Sedlak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Sedlak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
51.1% (998)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
56.5% (23)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
44.3% (70)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Sedlak is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Spezza
Sedlak
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.9% (557)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
49.6% (534)
By Period
Spezza
Sedlak
P1
55.7%
51.9%
P2
54.4%
48.8%
P3
54.1%
52.0%
OT
51.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |