Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sedlak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Sedlak 51.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 73.7%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 63.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 54.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Spezza
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Sedlak
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
0
2
Spezza
Sedlak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Sedlak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Sedlak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
51.2% (342)
+5.2%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
50.0% (8)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
57.1% (21)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Sedlak has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Spezza shoots right. Sedlak is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Spezza
Sedlak
Home
61.4% (352)
50.6% (164)
Away
50.9% (395)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Spezza
Sedlak
P1
60.6%
51.5%
P2
54.8%
52.4%
P3
52.5%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |