Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Goc 52.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 34-31 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 82.6%
Defensive zone
Goc 60.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Spezza
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
31
(65 meetings)
34
31
Spezza
Goc
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
16
11
Spezza
Goc
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
7
15
Spezza
Goc
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
11
5
Spezza
Goc
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
53.0% (3,301)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
58.0% (314)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
47.4% (728)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Spezza
Goc
Home
56.8% (5,066)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Spezza
Goc
P1
55.7%
51.9%
P2
54.4%
53.1%
P3
54.1%
52.4%
OT
51.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |