Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Goc 49.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 75.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 82.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 79.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Spezza
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Spezza
Goc
Last 7: Spezza 5-2 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Goc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Goc
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Goc
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
50.3% (590)
+5.8%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
47.3% (55)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
46.2% (39)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Spezza shoots right. Goc is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Spezza
Goc
Home
56.6% (532)
52.7% (283)
Away
56.0% (678)
48.0% (410)
By Period
Spezza
Goc
P1
58.8%
50.7%
P2
59.6%
50.7%
P3
50.4%
49.8%
OT
57.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |