Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Kruger 50.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.8%
Defensive zone
Kruger 66.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 64.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Spezza
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Spezza
Kruger
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
2
Spezza
Kruger
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
7
Spezza
Kruger
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
5
6
Spezza
Kruger
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
52.4% (3,509)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
46.5% (99)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.9% (860)
+9.8%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kruger
Home
56.8% (5,066)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Spezza
Kruger
P1
55.7%
49.7%
P2
54.4%
49.7%
P3
54.1%
52.1%
OT
51.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |