Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Kruger 46.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 87.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 58.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 83.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Spezza
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Kruger
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Kruger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Kruger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Kruger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
45.4% (502)
+8.4%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
46.7% (60)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
48.1% (52)
+1.3%
On even strength, Spezza has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Kruger is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kruger
Home
56.4% (853)
46.1% (267)
Away
50.5% (847)
45.7% (352)
By Period
Spezza
Kruger
P1
53.4%
42.5%
P2
54.2%
44.7%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |