Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Kruger 49.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.7%
Defensive zone
Kruger 73.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Spezza
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Spezza
Kruger
Last 6: Spezza 4-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Spezza
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Kruger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
52.5% (621)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
0.0% (6)
+57.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
31.0% (100)
+13.8%
On power play, Spezza has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Spezza shoots right. Kruger is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kruger
Home
53.7% (374)
50.9% (395)
Away
50.3% (304)
47.0% (332)
By Period
Spezza
Kruger
P1
50.2%
47.6%
P2
50.2%
46.4%
P3
56.2%
54.5%
OT
66.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |