Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Granlund 44.1% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 87.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 61.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 87.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Spezza
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Spezza
Granlund
Last 7: Spezza 5-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Granlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
42.6% (441)
+10.6%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
33.3% (12)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
52.6% (19)
+4.5%
On power play, Spezza has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Granlund is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Spezza
Granlund
Home
57.5% (518)
44.0% (284)
Away
51.8% (463)
41.0% (188)
By Period
Spezza
Granlund
P1
55.4%
45.8%
P2
54.1%
39.7%
P3
55.5%
43.2%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |