Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Hanzal 55.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 76.3%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 67.3%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Spezza
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Spezza
Hanzal
Last 9: Spezza 7-2 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Hanzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Hanzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
54.9% (754)
-1.7%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
61.4% (228)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
49.2% (65)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Hanzal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hanzal
Home
57.5% (518)
58.1% (539)
Away
51.8% (463)
53.7% (508)
By Period
Spezza
Hanzal
P1
55.4%
56.5%
P2
54.1%
57.9%
P3
55.5%
53.6%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |