Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Hendricks 53.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.7%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 64.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Spezza
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Spezza
Hendricks
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
1
Spezza
Hendricks
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
6
Spezza
Hendricks
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
1
Spezza
Hendricks
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
55.0% (1,616)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.6% (38)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.4% (446)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hendricks
Home
56.8% (5,066)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Spezza
Hendricks
P1
55.7%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
53.3%
P3
54.1%
53.6%
OT
51.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |