Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.4%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Hendricks 54.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 75.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 79.4%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 55.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Spezza
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Spezza
Hendricks
Last 6: Spezza 4-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Hendricks
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
2
Spezza
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
59.6% (329)
-6.4%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
46.7% (15)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
44.0% (109)
+13.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hendricks
Home
57.5% (518)
52.4% (233)
Away
51.8% (463)
58.6% (220)
By Period
Spezza
Hendricks
P1
55.4%
55.1%
P2
54.1%
55.2%
P3
55.5%
55.6%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |