Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.1%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 38 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Koivu 54.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 50-31 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 66.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 54.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 56.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Spezza
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
31
(81 meetings)
50
31
Spezza
Koivu
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
29
9
Spezza
Koivu
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
14
Spezza
Koivu
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
11
8
Spezza
Koivu
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
54.0% (9,465)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
58.6% (2,100)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.9% (1,688)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Spezza
Koivu
Home
56.8% (5,066)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Spezza
Koivu
P1
55.7%
53.5%
P2
54.4%
54.6%
P3
54.1%
54.0%
OT
51.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | OT | 01:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 24, 2017 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |