Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Koivu 54.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 54.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 73.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 71.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Spezza
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Spezza
Koivu
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
2
Spezza
Koivu
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
5
Spezza
Koivu
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
1
Spezza
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
55.3% (1,268)
-2.3%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
57.6% (321)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
51.0% (202)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Spezza
Koivu
Home
56.4% (626)
58.3% (906)
Away
51.7% (636)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Spezza
Koivu
P1
56.9%
53.0%
P2
51.9%
55.6%
P3
53.9%
56.6%
OT
46.2%
64.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |