Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Koivu 54.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 55.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 90.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 75.3%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Spezza
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Spezza
Koivu
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
1
Spezza
Koivu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Spezza
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
55.3% (1,219)
-4.0%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
63.5% (200)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
48.9% (280)
-4.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Spezza shoots right. Koivu is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Spezza
Koivu
Home
53.7% (374)
55.6% (846)
Away
50.3% (304)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Spezza
Koivu
P1
50.2%
57.4%
P2
50.2%
55.5%
P3
56.2%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 24, 2017 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |