Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Spezza
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Bjugstad
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Spezza
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
46.2% (340)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
58.0% (50)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
0.0% (1)
+44.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Spezza is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Spezza shoots right. Bjugstad is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bjugstad
Home
53.7% (374)
49.4% (237)
Away
50.3% (304)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Spezza
Bjugstad
P1
50.2%
46.4%
P2
50.2%
50.4%
P3
56.2%
45.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |