Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Antropov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Antropov 45.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 95.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 94.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 94.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 94.7%
94.7%
5.3%
Spezza
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Spezza
Antropov
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
3
4
Spezza
Antropov
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
0
Spezza
Antropov
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
11
6
Spezza
Antropov
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
45.7% (1,209)
+8.7%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
45.5% (191)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
39.0% (77)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Antropov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Spezza
Antropov
Home
56.8% (5,066)
48.0% (704)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Spezza
Antropov
P1
55.7%
42.8%
P2
54.4%
47.0%
P3
54.1%
45.6%
OT
51.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |