Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Antropov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Antropov 48.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 93.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 87.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Spezza
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Spezza
Antropov
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Antropov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Antropov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
1
Spezza
Antropov
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
48.4% (461)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
50.8% (65)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
75.0% (4)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Antropov has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Spezza shoots right. Antropov is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Spezza
Antropov
Home
56.6% (532)
53.1% (271)
Away
56.0% (678)
44.1% (263)
By Period
Spezza
Antropov
P1
58.8%
40.6%
P2
59.6%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
54.5%
OT
57.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |